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Comfortable 2022, everybody! For a lot of, the New 12 months presents a clean slate. We are able to redefine ourselves by making resolutions to be higher, or do higher, or win greater. I embarked upon final weekend with many brief and long-term targets in thoughts, and seemed ahead to a midnight glowing cider toast with my beautiful spouse, who’s nearly eight months pregnant. Topping my listing of resolutions: being extra energetic, figuring out extra, bringing in extra money, and having fun with extra time with my household. However then COVID rudely arrived at my home like an anvil falling from the sky. These resolutions all bought thrown onto the backburner. And life as I do know it got here to a screeching halt.
I used to be sick Saturday morning (Comfortable New 12 months, sucker!). What I initially thought was allergy symptoms or a head chilly Thursday afternoon became flu-like signs 30 hours later. A house take a look at revealed a pink line and a blue line—I used to be COVID-positive. First step: Name out of my day job. Second step: Isolate from my toddler and pregnant spouse. Third step: Attempt to not get run over by this factor. The third step proved probably the most troublesome. This virus isn’t any joke!
By Sunday morning, we had been experiencing our worst nightmare. My daughter Ellie went to the hospital for the primary time since she was born. She wakened shaking with a 102 levels fever, and threw up. My spouse was understandably freaked, and he or she known as 911. They took an ambulance to Hasbro Youngsters’s Hospital in Windfall, RI. I used to be caught in isolation, making an attempt to relax my two-year previous daughter through Facetime, as she’s strapped to an emergency carseat on an ambulance gurney at 3:00 a.m. With the weekend ER ready room bustling with 10 households after the New Years’ surge, my women waited for hours simply to be seen.
Because of any and each increased energy in existence — and my superb spouse, and Hasbro (nice hospital) — my daughter is okay. She bought discharged at 9 a.m. as soon as they bought her fever down. They stated the Omicron wasn’t concentrated in her lungs, a serious cause it hasn’t been as lethal a variant as Delta. 5 days later, Ellie’s already again to her spunky self, operating round screaming for CocoMelon (though a bit raspier than ordinary). All stated, she’s fared a lot better than me — children are so resilient! And my spouse, someway, has examined damaging 3 times. I assume the vaccine did its job for an important individuals in our home — Mama Bear and our child bear cub, Ellie’s little brother, due March 22.
Evidently, Tuesday afternoon DFS sleepers and values didn’t occur this week. In my two years of scripting this column, I’ve by no means missed my 5 p.m. ET Tuesday deadline. So, thanks loads, COVID. You’ve already made me a worse model of myself. However I’ll make up for it by nailing all my picks this week, and making all of you a ton of cash. Hey, it’s one in all my 5 most important targets: Make my readers beaucoup bucks.
Each Tuesday this 12 months, we’ve been highlighting our favourite under-the-radar performs. We scour the participant swimming pools on the 2 hottest DFS websites and compile a listing of gamers who we challenge to tremendously exceed their modest worth tags. By pinpointing worth early and infrequently when setting our DFS lineups, we afford ourselves upgrades at different positions.
MORE WEEK 18 DFS: Best stacks | Lineup builder
When you had learn this column final week, you’d have as soon as once more benefited tremendously from our recommendation. Take a look at the highlights of our low-cost, high-value DFS hits from Week 17 (matchups, costs, and remaining PPR output listed).
- Joe Burrow, Bengals vs. Chiefs (DK: $6,900 | FD: $7,700): 42.84 fantasy factors
- Damien Harris, Patriots vs. Jaguars (DK: $6,600 | FD: $7,400): 17.7
- Chase Edmonds, Cardinals at Cowboys (DK: $5,700 | FD: $6,500): 13.2
- Christian Kirk, Cardinals at Cowboys (DK: $5,800 | FD: $6,400): 13.9
- Saints D/ST vs. Panthers (DK: $3,400 | FD: $4,700): 15
That’s a tidy listing of reasonably priced manufacturing. When you hit on any of those DFS performs, to procure your self elite-level manufacturing with out paying top-shelf costs. Give it some thought: for a collective common of $5,680, these 5 performs netted you a median of over 20 PPR factors. By capitalizing on sleepers and values like these, you seemingly afforded your self a stud or two at different roster spots.
I’m largely recovered now, and I’m as targeted as ever. Now’s the time within the NFL season when the studs actually separate themselves from the duds — and now’s the time for DFS specialists to actually jack up their bankroll. Let’s go discover ourselves some low-cost manufacturing and defeat our DFS opponents like my daughter and I crushed COVID-19. Warriors unite!
All participant values are from DraftKings and FanDuel. All stats are from NFL.com and Professional Soccer Reference.
SATURDAY FULL-SLATE DFS: DraftKings | FanDuel
NFL DFS Picks Week 18: QB sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Taysom Hill, Saints at Falcons (DK: $6,200 | FD: $7,700)
Hill didn’t must don his Superman swimsuit towards the offensively inept Panthers final weekend (apologies, Cam Newton), because the Saints D carried New Orleans to an 18-10 victory. We additionally didn’t see the RPO extraordinaire do a lot towards Tampa’s dominant protection in Week 15. However Hill exceeded 26 fantasy factors in each Week 13 towards Dallas and Week 14 towards the Jets. Very similar to these two squads, Atlanta’s protection has been beneficiant to QBs this season, permitting the fourth-most fantasy factors to the place. The Saints have a shot on the playoffs with a win this week (and losses from Philly and San Francisco), so count on a Herculean effort from Hill towards the division-rival Soiled Birds.
Kirk Cousins, Vikings vs. Bears (DK: $6,100 | FD: $7,200)
Cousins has been cleared to play this week, though it’s a lot too late for the Vikings. Regardless of Minnesota being eradicated from playoff rivalry, coach Mike Zimmer says he’ll nonetheless begin his veteran QB on Sunday in a divisional recreation with Chicago. The final time we noticed Cousins on the sphere, he surpassed 20 fantasy factors at residence towards the elite protection of the Rams. I feel Cousins will end the season robust towards the 6-10 Bears, exceeding 20 factors for the ninth time this season.
Carson Wentz, Colts at Jaguars (DK: $5,800 | FD: $7,200)
I’m most likely staying distant from this play, because the Colts have clearly tried to maintain the ball out of Wentz’s arms over the previous few weeks. However that is Jacksonville we’re speaking about, a squad that ranks twenty fourth in fantasy factors allowed to QBs. If ever there was a very good time for Indy to apply its passing recreation forward of the playoffs, it’s now. The Jags will seemingly be stacking the field in makes an attempt to comprise MVP candidate operating again Jonathan Taylor, which is all of the extra cause for Frank Reich to unleash Wentz. Indy must win to get into the dance, and if and after they get there, the Colts stand no probability if they will’t throw the ball. It’s a dangerous play, however it might repay. Consider me, it’s slim pickings within the QB pool this week.
WEEK 18 DFS LINEUPS: FanDuel | DraftKings | Yahoo
NFL DFS Picks Week 18: RB sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
David Montgomery, Bears at Vikings (DK: $6,800 | FD: $7,600)
I do know $6,800 looks like removed from a worth, however contemplate the expertise and alternative you get with a talented again like Montgomery in an otherwise-scuffling offense. He’s seen a median of 25 touches per recreation over the previous three weeks, and scored 22.3 PPR factors per recreation over the previous two. Minnesota ranks twenty seventh in dashing yards allowed per recreation this season (133.3), and twenty eighth in floor yards allowed over the previous three weeks (149.3). The Packers’ Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon gashed the Vikings for 139 mixed yards and two TDs final week, and Montgomery ought to gash them once more this Sunday.
AJ Dillon, Packers at Lions (DK: $6,200 | FD: $7,300)
This beast of a person has been very good this season, averaging 4.3 yards per carry whereas scoring seven touchdowns throughout simply 206 touches. Dillon has discovered paydirt 3 times over the previous three weeks, and he ought to see loads of quantity towards the 2-13-1 Lions, who give up the third-most fantasy factors within the NFL to operating backs. Give the BC alum a go this weekend, because the NFC-leading Packers ought to be capable to relaxation beginning again Aaron Jones for many of the recreation. If we hear stories previous to Sunday that Dillon goes to be rested, too, pivot to third-stringer Patrick Taylor, who provides numerous upside in a premium matchup.
Devin Singletary, Payments vs. Jets (DK: $6,000 | FD: $6,700)
Singletary has been the person for the Payments operating recreation within the residence stretch, trying higher and higher every week. Take a look at his PPR output from Week 14 to 17: 14.9, 16.6, 18.8, 26.0. That’s known as hitting your stride on the proper time, and it’s completely the correct time to money in on this child. The potential has at all times been there, and now Singletary is now paying off with elevated utilization. The Jets rank useless final in fantasy factors allowed to operating backs, they usually additionally wrestle to comprise pass-catchers out of the backfield. Buffalo shouldn’t have any hassle dismantling Gang Inexperienced, and Singletary ought to see 23-plus touches for the third time in 4 weeks.
WEEK 18 FANTASY RANKINGS (PPR & STANDARD):
Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker
NFL DFS Picks Week 18: WR sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Tyler Lockett, Seahawks at Cardinals (DK: $6,400 | FD: $6,900)
As ordinary, Lockett took the backseat to stud receiver DK Metcalf final week towards Detroit, however this weekend needs to be circled on the calendar for Lockett followers. Over the previous 3 times Seattle has performed the Cardinals, the speedy wideout has torched the division-rivals for 382 yards and 4 TDs. Examine the smoke detectors and fireplace suppression programs at State Farm as a result of in contrast to a very good neighbor, Lockett might be burning Arizona this weekend (put that in your “Wall of Claims,” J.Ok. Simmons!
Brandin Cooks, Texans vs. Titans (DK: $6,300 | FD: $7,100)
Cooks is probably the most underrated famous person receiver in soccer — he simply retains on dominating, no matter his groups’ futility on the quarterback place. The veteran surpassed 1,000 receiving yards for the sixth time in his profession final week, and he wants simply 89 yards this Sunday to achieve 1,100 for the fifth time. Methinks he’ll do exactly that, as Tennessee surrenders 242.5 air yards per recreation (twenty third within the NFL). Cooks has notched 100-plus receiving yards in two of Houston’s previous three video games, and he’s scored three TDs over the previous two weeks. Get Cooks in your DFS kitchen this weekend (unhealthy puns are apparently a symptom of COVID).
Odell Beckham Jr., Rams vs. 49ers (DK: $5,800 | FD: $6,500)
OBJ clearly performs second-fiddle to Professional Bowl standout Cooper Kupp, who deserves consideration to be the primary wideout to win MVP honors, however that doesn’t imply Beckham’s not serviceable at $5,800. The gifted veteran has touchdowns in 5 of his previous six video games as a Ram, and he’s produced at the very least 13.7 PPR factors in every of LA’s previous two video games. In a significant Week 18 divisional residence recreation towards the playoff-hopeful 49ers, you need low-cost guys who come up huge within the clutch. San Francisco ranks twenty third in PPR factors allowed to receivers, so OBJ looks like an ideal play.
SATURDAY SINGLE-GAME DFS:
KC-DEN FD | KC-DEN DK | DAL-PHI FD | DAL-PHI DK
NFL DFS Picks Week 18: TE sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Dawson Knox, Payments vs. Jets (DK: $5,400 | FD: $6,000)
I’m bullish on Knox, similar to my associates are bullish on cryptocurrency. The gifted tight finish ought to see loads of targets in Buffalo this weekend towards the Jets, who rank twenty seventh in fantasy factors allowed to the place. Anticipate Knox to achieve double-digit PPR factors for the seventh time.
Pat Freiermuth, Steelers at Ravens (DK: $4,600 | FD: $5,200)
Selecting tight finish sleepers is type of like taking part in numbers in roulette. You may’t actually make an informed guess, it’s simply all luck. Will the ‘Muth get free for a landing this week towards the division-rival Ravens? Possibly so, possibly not. The rookie has seven touchdowns and 7 double-digit fantasy performances. He caught five-of-six targets final week, however he completed with simply 22 yards (he’s surpassed 44 yards in a recreation simply as soon as all season regardless of hauling in 54 whole passes). Spin the wheel and take a look at your luck, or play it secure with Mark Andrews or George Kittle and seize your sleepers and values within the different skill-position spots.
NFL DFS Picks Week 18: D/ST sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Saints at Falcons (DK: $3,400 | FD: $4,900)
The Saints made me look good in Week 17, so I’m driving with them once more this weekend regardless of the $500 improve on DK. New Orleans’ stifling D was the principle catalyst in its’ 18-10 win over Carolina, and it will likely be the principle cause for a playoff berth if Who Dat Nation makes it to the postseason. Matt Ryan and the Falcons make loads of errors, permitting the third-most fantasy factors per recreation to D/STs. If all goes to plan, New Orleans might very nicely log 15 fantasy factors for the sixth time this season.
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