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Sadly, the final week of the 12 months has arrived. On a brighter notice, the column has produced 9 straight over/beneath victories, so technically, we’re truly searching for a sweep of the second half of the season in totals. Soak it in as we enter the historic first-ever “Week 18.”
Over/Unders: 12-3-1
Spreads: 9-7
Teasers: 7-9
Props: 8-8
General File*: 36-27-1, +11.17 items
*Every over/beneath graded to win 2 items; all the things else for 1 unit
Greatest Over/Underneath Wager
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
Over/Underneath: 48
Will this be the final hurrah for Russell Wilson as a member of the Seahawks?
What a run it’s been, one which already carries official hall-of-fame aspirations as the previous Tremendous Bowl MVP continues his profession. But at a still-springy age of 33, all the things seems to be on the desk with regards to evaluating Russ’ future.
Withering commerce rumors have presided over the Seahawks since earlier than their misplaced season even started. And so they’re positive to solely intensify after the membership’s oncoming last-place end within the NFC West division.
Nicely, Wilson mentioned this week his “aim is to win extra Tremendous Bowls” and the “plan is to win them right here.” He’s acquired a no-trade clause, too, so in the end, this resolution must be as much as No. 3 about what transpires — however given the potential for a rebuild in Seattle and the considerably murky way forward for longtime head coach Pete Carroll, leaving city is at all times viable.
Both means, feelings are positive to be operating excessive for the Tenth-year QB1. That helps to make sure Wilson churning out certainly one of his common efforts regardless of the ‘Hawks being lengthy gone from the AFC playoff image. And with this sport having postseason significance for the rival Cardinals, there’s sufficient substances to assist consummate a pleasant outing from Russ.
Initially, he’s having a greater season than most individuals notice. When the Seahawks began to dip within the standings, that got here whereas Wilson was sidelined with a damaged center finger on his throwing hand. He struggled a bit upon his return however has settled again in once more and continues to be hanging a reasonably 102.5 passer ranking and finishing 65.2 % of his passes. Each these marks truly register as larger than his profession common for every.
Wilson may also be concluding his 2021 marketing campaign towards a well-recognized opponent whom he’s usually loved seeing. He’s etched a 29-8 TD/INT ratio in 19 lifetime conferences with the Playing cards and normally led them to honest exercise on the scoreboard.
I’d additionally look out for DK Metcalf leaving his imprints on this sport. The third-year standout wide-out is 91 yards away from notching his second straight season with at the least 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns.
Arizona is the one on this affair nonetheless vying for a division title. Whether or not or not they will pull out the win right here and be topped champs of the West (additionally they want the Rams to lose) stays to be seen, however that doesn’t matter to us. We simply need factors.
Like his counterpart, Kyler Murray additionally possesses an encouraging historical past towards the foe he’ll be dealing with off with at present. For his profession, the multi-sport star holds a 97.0 passer ranking in 4 conferences reverse Seattle, simply his finest mark among the many three division rivals he sees twice yearly. On high of that, the Seahawks are yielding extra passing yards (270.4) every week than all NFC golf equipment
Murray’s well being has been a difficulty within the second half of the season, arguably costing the Cardinals a few video games following their blazing sizzling begin. He seeming adopted an identical path this 12 months to Wilson after each endured accidents that stunted superb work. At this level, although, Murray is again to full well being.
Apparently so is Wilson after he guided his group to a whopping 51 factors final week. Whereas that got here on the expense of the Lions, it nonetheless serves as a springboard for an additional huge exhibiting to wrap issues up.
In the meantime, Arizona is coming off a powerful and essential win at Dallas final week. Both sides being in rhythm units the stage for an explosive season finale.
Decide: OVER 47 (-130)
Greatest Unfold Wager
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
Unfold: Bears +4/Vikings -4
Right here we now have one other veteran higher echelon beginning quarterback with a little bit of an unsure future regardless of prior success.
Cousins, age 33, is having one other nice 12 months for the Vikings, even trying to clinch his third straight marketing campaign with a passer ranking above 100.0 (and he almost missed out on a fourth his first 12 months in Minnesota).
But he’s usually one of many more-criticized QB’s within the league. The Vikings’ lack of workforce success definitely performs a large function in these harsh phrases, and thus, potential commerce rumors have swirled, too.
Any such talks would simply be bogus. Cousins is getting paid some huge cash however he solely has one 12 months left on that deal — why not simply let him journey it out with the incredible numbers he’s supplied them?
Although that is technically a meaningless remaining common season sport, I foresee Cousins needs to enter the offseason making a press release by the use of a stellar efficiency. Moreover, the Vikings are much better than the respect — or lack thereof — the linesmakers are exhibiting them primarily based on this curiously low unfold.
Distinction that to the primary assembly a number of Mondays in the past, when the sport was at Soldier Discipline, and Minnesota was truly favored by greater than they’re at present. Sometimes, once you’re at dwelling, that’s at the least a few-point edge to the oddsmakers.
True, Andy Dalton is probably going beginning now as a substitute of Justin Fields, however are we positive that’s an improve? I’m not satisfied it’s.
The Purple Rifle has obtained a handful of begins this 12 months and regarded largely mediocre, stringing collectively a 76.8 passer ranking. Chicago’s lackluster forged round him significantly limits their ceiling on this highway matchup reverse a high quality protection.
Surprisingly (given all of the vocal Matt Nagy hate on the market), the Bears can truly even it up with Minnesota within the NFC Norris for second place at 7-10 in the event that they get the W. That’s simply not taking place, although.
Decide: VIKINGS -4 (-110)
Greatest Teaser Wager
WAS-NYG U37.5 —> U50.5
Colts -14.5 —> -1.5
Falcons +3.5 —> +16.5
Raiders +3 —> +16
Let’s get the simple one out of the way in which first, that being the Colts taking up the lowly Jaguars. That is the epitome of the phrase “sport it’s a must to have.” All Indianapolis has to do is defeat the worst workforce within the NFL and they’ll transfer on to the postseason. In the event that they by some means lose, they would wish three completely different outcomes in different bouts to remain alive and advance.
Moreover from the early window, we’ll deploy a complete that appears a bit worrisome at first look. In any case, the over/beneath is low sufficient that even including 13 factors to the quantity nonetheless makes it appear to be a standard sport quantity. Nonetheless, how might this NFC East tilt between joke franchises get to past 50 factors? The Soccer Group has been in free-fall mode the final month, whereas the Giants are being pressured to trot out Jake Fromm as beginning QB once more. Oof
Everlasting rivals New Orleans and Atlanta collide in a sport that has playoff ramifications for the previous. They have to beat the Falcons on the highway and hope San Francisco falls to the Rams so as to safe that remaining NFC Wild Card berth. It doesn’t matter what, although, these encounters are virtually at all times shut and we simply want the Falcons to not get blown out decisively
If we make it to the ultimate sport of the season on Sunday Evening Soccer, the Raiders internet hosting the Chargers in an elimination sport appears prime for a aggressive assembly as effectively. That will point out the Raiders not shedding by 17.
Greatest Participant Prop Wager
Jonathan Taylor Over/Underneath 21.5 Carries
In a must-win sport to achieve the playoffs, count on the Colts to show their common rush-heavy tendencies that must be prevalent towards a really unhealthy Jags workforce.
As long as that’s the case, we’ll get the standard dosage of Taylor, which has equated to a median of 23 rush makes an attempt the final 10 weeks. It was at that time the second-year stud (lastly) grew to become undisputed king of the Indy backfield after the membership was rotating three backs prior and now he’s in place to probably seize Offensive Participant of the 12 months honors. My how issues can change.
Jacksonville, in the meantime, sports activities a poor protection towards the run, rating twenty fifth in rush yards allowed (127.1) per sport. They’ve additionally yielded extra touchdowns on the bottom than all however two NFL golf equipment.
Oh, and the Jaguars are 2-14, house owners of professional soccer’s worst file coming into the ultimate week. A kind of L’s was by the hands of the Colts, who held Trevor Lawrence to under a 60.0 passer ranking.
This has the Colts’ fingerprints throughout it, particularly whereas the Jags are with out their finest offensive participant James Robinson, and that factors to the proper of sport script, sending Taylor off to a busy day.
Decide: OVER 21.5 Carries (EV)
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